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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 22nd, 2024

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  • I’m sorry to say this, but this is survivorship bias. We produced plenty of crap that broke a few months after use even 50 years ago, it’s just that you don’t notice the crap because it was thrown away after it broke and all you see now is the stuff that surprisingly made it for decades. That’s not to say that enshittification and planned obsolescence is not a thing, it’s just not as extreme and “we used to build things that lasted” as people would like to believe.




  • The growth (or in this case decline) is exponential. 1.08 is bad, 0.80 is terrifying. 1.08 is roughly half of the fertility needed for a stable population (about 2.1 children per woman). This means that per generation your population shrinks by half its size. 0.8 is another 25% lower. At an exponential rate these differences add up fast. The first one gives you (roughly) one child per 8 great grandparents. The other one needs 18. So over 3 generations the population shrinks by another factor of more than a half.




  • As always, to get approval for a drug, the potential side effects have to outweigh the benefits of the drug. From a purely logical and medical standpoint, there is no medical drawback for a man when the hormonal contraceptive fails and neither is there a medical benefit. If there are serious side effects, they have to outweigh the medical benefit and drawbacks, of which there are none, so that’s pretty hard.

    For women on the other hand, medically speaking pregnancy is a huge condition, sometimes dangerous, so there is a benefit and drawback if it doesn’t work and the drugs are approved despite having side effects.